Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.000580 0.000661 0.000748 0.000846 0.000954 0.001069 0.001201
2025-10-26 0.000447 0.000558 0.000683 0.000836 0.001015 0.001217 0.001460
2025-11-02 0.000381 0.000506 0.000655 0.000843 0.001072 0.001340 0.001674
2025-11-09 0.000329 0.000462 0.000628 0.000844 0.001117 0.001445 0.001866
2025-11-16 0.000277 0.000410 0.000583 0.000816 0.001119 0.001495 0.001988
2025-11-23 0.000237 0.000369 0.000546 0.000794 0.001126 0.001545 0.002109
2025-11-30 0.000210 0.000343 0.000526 0.000791 0.001153 0.001621 0.002261
2025-12-07 0.000188 0.000321 0.000510 0.000790 0.001182 0.001699 0.002418
2025-12-14 0.000166 0.000297 0.000489 0.000781 0.001198 0.001759 0.002550
2025-12-21 0.000147 0.000274 0.000467 0.000768 0.001207 0.001807 0.002668
2025-12-28 0.000138 0.000268 0.000470 0.000790 0.001265 0.001924 0.002880
2026-01-04 0.000129 0.000259 0.000466 0.000802 0.001310 0.002024 0.003071
2026-01-11 0.000115 0.000242 0.000450 0.000795 0.001326 0.002083 0.003208
2026-01-18 0.000103 0.000225 0.000433 0.000784 0.001335 0.002133 0.003334
2026-01-25 0.000095 0.000216 0.000427 0.000791 0.001372 0.002222 0.003516
2026-02-01 0.000087 0.000205 0.000418 0.000792 0.001398 0.002297 0.003679
2026-02-08 0.000075 0.000187 0.000393 0.000766 0.001380 0.002305 0.003745
2026-02-15 0.000066 0.000171 0.000373 0.000745 0.001370 0.002324 0.003826
2026-02-22 0.000059 0.000162 0.000363 0.000742 0.001387 0.002384 0.003969
2026-03-01 0.000054 0.000154 0.000355 0.000741 0.001408 0.002450 0.004123
2026-03-08 0.000049 0.000145 0.000343 0.000732 0.001415 0.002495 0.004243
2026-03-15 0.000043 0.000135 0.000330 0.000720 0.001416 0.002528 0.004348
2026-03-22 0.000042 0.000134 0.000334 0.000741 0.001472 0.002652 0.004592